Because what the one in a thousand means, is that out of a thousand people who try forging at 30%, one of those poor chumps will have to do it 20 times to have it hit. As soon as someone gets a hit, they needn't keep going. It can include even only one forging try with 30% success rate, if that try garnered a hit. You state that the one in a thousand only includes 20 consecutive forging tries with 30% success rate for each. And the more people you have trying, the more likely you'd have at least one have this happen.Īnd that brings us to your next error. But one person? That's an anomaly, nothing more. That's the number that your flawed example should've been using. Now the more players that make attempts, the more you should see the amount having it hit near 30% approach a statistical norm. The number that matters is how many people out of how many people had this happen? That's where you would see it approach a statistical norm. See, you only had ONE person in this example have that happen. But that's where you're using the wrong number. What malarkey! No, what it means is that there was an exception hence, why the odds are one in a thousand, and not 0 in a thousand. Even if 20 times was a big enough number, you stated that if by then you don't see something close to a statistical norm then the game is rigged. But you also are using the wrong number as your example. Anyone who does data will tell you that you generally need at least 30-50 data points before you even start to draw conclusions or trends (for most cases). You say that 20 times is a big enough number to generate an outcome approaching a statistical norm. You couldn't be more wrong on all counts.įirst, your logic is fatally flawed as it relates to the statistical norm example you gave. Even if it has occurred, most likely once.Īll in all, with 20 consecutive 30%-success-rate forging failures, he is most likely the only person out of all the DOT players who had such a bad luck or the displayed 30% success rate was a wrong number. Since the chance of such occurring is less than one in 1000 and # of such tries is less than 100, such an outcome most likely would not have occurred. I think, # of incidents players have tried 20 consecutive 30% success relic forging is less than 100. Even far fewer are 20 consecutive such tries.
There have been hundreds of thousands of DOT player relic forging tries, but most of them were not 30% success forging tries. In "one in a thousand", the thousand only includes 20 consecutive forging tries with 30% success rate for each of them. When you don't see something close to a statistical norm even after you increased # of tries, it's very likely that the game is rigged. 20 times is a big enough number to generate an outcome approaching a statistical norm if prob is 30%. But, as you increase number of tries, your outcome should approach a statistical norm. By upgrading your castle, you can construct new buildings and expand your kingdom.When you try once or twice, your outcome would seem random. A new reward will be waiting for you every day. Return to the relic temple often, my liege. Ragnar goliaths are slow but durable, and deal massive damage. Double tap a unit to select all similar units in your army. Guardian titans can absorb themendous damage, while enhancing the power of nearby units. Level up your titans by using them in battle or through fusion at the hall of titans.
Pinch the screen to zoom the camera in battle.
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Secrets cheat gameplay Dawn of Titans android codes: use your titan to defend yourself against your enemy. The relic temple allows you to summon titans and gain powerful items. Panthers – are fast and lightly-armored, and excel at flank attacks. Archers attack from range, and are especially effective against slow units like spearman. Archer – ranged physical attack, can keep dealing damage. Lancer – melee magical attack, good at assault. Warrior – melee physical attack, good at charging forward. Tactician – ranged magical attack, good at restraining enemies.
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